Some amount of polling error is normal. Both of these outcomes — and everything in between — are very much on the table next week. But are these scenarios actually likely, or ...
The race between Trump and Harris is tight in key 2024 swing states, with polls showing a near tie in crucial Pennsylvania.
According to pollster Nate Silver 's forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to former President Donald Trump 's 49.6 percent. It also notes ...
Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...
Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we ...
and how the candidates are polling in several swing states. As of Oct. 11, Ohio's FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Trump leading by over 7 points. Trump sits at 51.3%, while Harris closely ...
This shift marked a turnaround for Trump, who had led Biden in earlier polls. Since August 8, FiveThirtyEight's election simulator has consistently predicted Harris as the likely winner over Trump ...
Here are the current Georgia polling numbers: Trump's lead in polling has steadily increased in 538 polling since Oct. 11, when he led by only 0.8% in Georgia. FiveThirtyEight: Trump 48.6% ...
Despite the overall 1.5% advantage from FiveThirtyEight, polling within the collection of surveys varies as to which candidate has the advantage. For instance, an AtlasIntel survey of 1,411 of ...
That's why we do things like publish ratings of pollster accuracy and transparency and make complex election forecasting ...