Here at 538, we cover polls year-round, so we'd like to share with you some tips we've learned over the years on how to ...

Polling shows former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck in the key swing state of North Carolina. As Trump prepares to visit the Tarheel State, FiveThirtyEight's ...

As Harris prepares to visit Georgia on Friday, FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows that Trump is one point ahead of her.

With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close ...

The survey, conducted by Morning Consult among over 2,700 likely voters, has the Democrat ahead by one percentage point ...

If you, like me, spend too much time perusing 538's polls page, you may have noticed this summer has seen a lot of polls from a new-ish pollster: ActiVote. Since Aug. 1, ActiVote has completed 25 ...

We can calculate this very easily empirically. First, for all of the contests in 538's state and national presidential general election polling database (which goes back all the way to 1948 ...

according to a top polling tracker. FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which complies the results of national and statewide polls and weights them according to reliability, shows that nationally ...

Kamala Harris has overtaken former President Donald Trump in North Carolina for the first time, according to polling ...